TRENDS OF TOURIST ARRIVALS AND OVERNIGHT STAYS IN THE MARAMURES COUNTY, ROMANIA, 2007-2016 AND FORECAST FOR 2017-2021

Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 17 ISSUE 4
Written by Agatha POPESCU, Daniela PLESOIANU

The paper analyzed the trends in the tourism of the Maramures County, an important destination both for Romanian and foreign tourist due to its beautiful landscapes, cultural heritage and well preserved traditions. The empirical data were provided by the National Institute of Statistics for the period 2007-2016. The main statistical indicators used in this study were: number of units with reception function for tourists' accommodation, number of places, tourist arrivals, overnight stays and length of stay. They were statistically analyzed by: average, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and trend line, and also by means of Spearman and Pearson correlation and regression models between number of places and tourist arrivals, and between number of places and overnight stays. Finally, the forecast for the number of tourist arrivals and overnight stays for the period 2017-2021 was set up using the adjusted series of data and the average growth rate. In the Maramures County, the tourism offer in terms of units with accommodation function for tourist reception increased by 47.05 % and the number of places by 77.46 %, accounting for 225 tourism units and 6,451 beds in the year 2016. The tourism demand, in terms of the tourist arrivals increased by 75 %, while the overnight stays raised by 48.24 %, accounting for 189,000 persons and, respectively, 339,000 overnights stays in the year 2016. The average length of stays declined by 15.7 % from 2.11 days in 2007 to 1.78 days in 2016. The Spearman correlation coefficient reflected that between the number of places and the overnight stays it is a weak positive relationship (rS= 0.079), but between the number of places and tourist arrivals it is a high and positive link (rS= 0.776). The Pearson correlation proved high positive values ( r= 0.771 and r= 0.893) for this pair of indicators. In the year 2021, it is expected that the number of tourist arrivals to reach 225,000 and the number of overnight stays to account for 386,860 in the Maramures county, reflecting the tourists' interest to visit this part of Romania.

[Read full article] [Citation]

POPESCUA., PLESOIANU D. 2017, TRENDS OF TOURIST ARRIVALS AND OVERNIGHT STAYS IN THE MARAMURES COUNTY, ROMANIA, 2007-2016 AND FORECAST FOR 2017-2021. Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 17 ISSUE 4, PRINT ISSN 2284-7995, 281-292.


The publisher is not responsible for the opinions published in the Volume. They represent the authors’ point of view.
Copyright 2012. To be cited: Scientific Papers. Series “Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural Development“
Powered by INTEL TECH DEVELOPMENT.