ISSN 2284-7995, ISSN Online 2285-3952
 

A HYPOTHETICAL FUNCTIONAL MODEL OF SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT BASED ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE INCOME HETEROGENEITY OF THE RURAL POPULATION AS A FACTOR OF SOCIAL DYNAMICS

Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 21 ISSUE 3
Written by Marina Alexandrovna VOLOKHOVA, Ivan Sergeevich NOVIKOV

In modern Russia, the main features of the current demographic situation are: significant scale of population decline, low birth rate, continuing population aging. Currently, the Russian Federation is experiencing high mortality and low fertility. Using the tool of the space of value orientations, based on the methodology proposed by Urnov M.Yu., Kasamara V.A., the initial indicators were changed to economic ones and their influence on the socio-demographic development of rural areas was determined. The hypothetical substantiation of the dependence of economic indicators of value heterogeneity in terms of economic indicators of society and social dynamics was tested on the basis of a hypothetical model based on matrix algorithms. A model of socio-demographic development has been developed based on the relationship between the value heterogeneity of the rural population as a factor of social dynamics, uniting a system of economic and social indicators on the basis of a functional approach, stratification indicators of the value orientation of rural areas have been determined depending on the level of income of the population, which will determine the growth of job creation. places and size of wages. The verification of the economic indicators of a hypothetical model of the dependence of the socio-demographic development of rural areas in the region on the level of value heterogeneity of society in terms of wages, as a factor of social dynamics, has been carried out. The calculations showed that in agricultural enterprises of the Russian Federation, in the period f1 in relation to the period f0, the increase in income was: in the first group of districts 114,761.9 thousand rubles. or 75.07%, in the fourth group 1,043,889 thousand rubles (58.53%) due to a significant increase in capital productivity for the intensive type of development, and identified additional investments in the acquisition of fixed assets in the amount of 143,928.24 and 1,253,302.33 thousand roubles. Profit from intensive use of agricultural land is determined in 1-4 groups of districts in the amount of 73.26; 77.15; 70.16; 59.22%, respectively, of the total profit of enterprises in order to maintain the achieved level of profit, it is necessary to increase the area of agricultural land by 20% on average for groups.

[Read full article] [Citation]

The publisher is not responsible for the opinions published in the Volume. They represent the authors’ point of view.

© 2019 To be cited: Scientific Papers. Series “Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural Development“.

Powered by INTELIDEV