Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 15 ISSUE 3
Written by Mariana GRODEA
The paper identified the new opportunities for relaunching the Romanian milk and dairy consumption, from the perspective of domestic supply restructuring, having in view the support measures of the sector under the new NRDP (2014-2020). The method used for the elaboration of scenarios with regard to increasing self-sufficiency in milk and dairy products was based on statistical calculations of the average yearly growth rate and the dynamics index of the utilizable production, import and export of dairy products in milk equivalent, as well as production, import and export forecasts, having as data sources the publications of the National Institute of Statistics – Food Balance Sheets, Population’s Consumption Availabilities, 2007-2014. The results reveal that the decrease of imports by an average yearly rate of 1.5%, together with the increase of utilizable production by an yearly rate of 3%, will lead to self-sufficiency increase to 96%, beginning with 2016, and this situation will be maintained until the year 2018. The conclusions highlight that in the period 2014-2018, Romania will be still dependent on dairy imports.
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