Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 25 ISSUE 1
Written by Silviu-Ionuț BEIA, Dana TĂPĂLOAGĂ, Cosmin ȘONEA, Lucian-Ionel ILIE, Paul-Rodian TĂPĂLOAGĂ, Cosmina Andreea SMEDESCU, Violeta Elena BEIA, Dragoș SMEDESCU, Raluca-Aniela GHEORGHE-IRIMIA

Honey production in Romania and the EU is essential for agriculture, food security, and economic sustainability. Romania, a leading producer, benefits from favourable conditions but faces challenges such as climate change, habitat loss, and market competition. This research analyses historical honey production trends and forecasts production until 2035 using FAOSTAT data and an exponential smoothing (ETS) model. Statistical evaluation confirms a strong predictive accuracy (R²= 0.8918), projecting Romania’s honey production to reach 250,000–300,000 tonnes by 2035. While the outlook is positive, environmental and economic factors may influence actual trends. Sustainable beekeeping, policy support, and market strategies are crucial for ensuring long-term viability. Future research should integrate climate and economic variables to enhance predictive accuracy.

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