Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 24 ISSUE 3
Written by Olesia TOTSKA

The purpose of this article is to analyze seasonal fluctuations in the export of agricultural crops from Ukraine in the period March 2022–January 2024. The research used data from a dashboard created by the Office for Entrepreneurship and Export Development together with the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine and the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine. In March-April 2022, the total export of a number of types of agricultural products was very low, but over time began to increase significantly and reached its peak in March 2023. This happened due to the adaptation of Ukrainian producers and exporters of agricultural products to the emergence of new challenges. Among Ukrainian agricultural products, corn and wheat have the greatest export potential (over 1.1 million tons per month on average), sunflower oil, meal, rape, soybeans, barley, and sunflower seeds have less potential (over 150,000 tons per month on average), the smallest potential has soybean oil (more than 20,000 tons per month on average). Most types of agricultural products have two distinct phases of export seasonality: growth and decline. In the analyzed period, a seasonal increase in exports was observed for corn – in November-March; wheat – September-February; meal – August-February; rape – August-December; soybeans – October-February. For other types of products, export growth and decline phases changed more often: the increase in sunflower oil exports occurred in November-February and September; barley – in September-February and July; sunflower seeds – in October-December, February and May-July; soybean oil – in October-January and May-July.

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