ISSN 2284-7995, ISSN Online 2285-3952
 

DETERMINING THE SHORT AND LONG TERM VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS BETWEEN WHEAT, COTTON AND CORN PRICES IN TURKEY USING THE ASYMMETRIC BEKK-GARCH-MEAN EQUATION MODEL

Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 23 ISSUE 1
Written by Ferda Nur ÖZDEMİR, Abdulbaki BİLGİÇ

In the study, the price volatility relationship between wheat, cotton and corn markets was investigated and daily data for the period 02.04.2005-11.03.2020 were used. The VAR-Asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model, which analyzes the markets simultaneously in a single system, was chosen. Persistent long-term uncertainty in the wheat market affects the market positively. Long-term uncertainty in the cotton market creates uncertainty both in its own market and in the corn market. Persistent long-term uncertainty in the corn market creates permanent uncertainties both in its own market and in other markets, and these effects are statistically significant. Markets were more affected by long-term shocks.

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OZDEMIR F.N., BILGIC A. 2023, DETERMINING THE SHORT AND LONG TERM VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS BETWEEN WHEAT, COTTON AND CORN PRICES IN TURKEY USING THE ASYMMETRIC BEKK-GARCH-MEAN EQUATION MODEL. Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 23 ISSUE 1, PRINT ISSN 2284-7995, 475-490.

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© 2019 To be cited: Scientific Papers. Series “Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural Development“.

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