ISSN 2284-7995, ISSN Online 2285-3952
     

    THE FORECASTS OF PIG MEAT PRICES IN THE EU - THE USE OF ADAPTIVE WINTER'S MODEL

    Published in Scientific Papers. Series "Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and rural development", Vol. 16 ISSUE 2
    Written by Agnieszka TŁUCZAK

    Prices and factors which influence them are measurable thus it is appropriate to apply in this case a method of time series analysis for predicting the pig meat prices in the purchasing centre. In this paper adaptive models, which adjust to the changeable conditions, have been analysed including the changes in the trend level, accidental variations and seasonal variation. On the basis of estimated models the forecast of pig meat prices has been calculated. The ex post measurement of forecasts were used to asses a quality of models.

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